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Johnsons name recognition is also significantly higher today than it was back then. Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin had not held office prior to his election to the Senate, being a CEO for a plastics and manufacturing company beforehand. That conversation starts with Sen. Doug Jones, who comes in at No. Early polling indicates a tight race. Pollapalooza (249) Phil Scott has not yet announced whether he is running, but it is expected that he will, as of May 12, 2022. And how effective is what they plan to do to whoever the eventual nominee is?. Toward the bottom of the list are five governors running for reelection whose approval ratings dont look as strong as they seem after taking partisan lean into account. This is less true for governors, however. > Less popular senator: Republican Sen. Ron Johnson > Q4 2019 approval rating: 41.0% > Least popular House member: Republican Rep. Bryan Steil, 1st District GOP Love for Johnson Exceeded Only by Democratic Disdain. In July, in our last survey, President Biden's approval rating was 33 percent, one of his worst results of the cycle. In an interview with CNN, Barnes said Johnson turned his back on working people. Johnson repeatedly referred to Barnes as radical, posting a tweet calling him the Democratic Partys most radical left candidate. The race has become one of the most highly anticipated races in the November election, as both parties attempt to tip the 50-50 stalemate in the Senate (Vice President Kamala Harris is the tiebreaker). But the decline hasnt been even across groups. 2 in PARS with a score of +33. Senator Ron Johnson's . Several conservatives involved in the state argued that Johnson casting himself as foe of Biden and the national Democratic brand could help shore up his intraparty standing. Harry S. Truman 1945-53. If you are an existing member, sign-in to leave a comment. Bjork, whos previously worked for Emilys List and President Barack Obamas Wisconsin campaigns, noted that running as a progressive in the state isnt impossible, pointing to the winning path charted by Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) a decade ago. Johnson's campaign had raised more than $17 million by July 20, compared with $7 million raised by Barnes though Barnes' campaign said on Aug. 1 that it raised $1.1 million in just a week, after his Democratic rivals united behind him. While the results are better for Evers than Johnson, and offer the best news for Michels and Barnes among the challengers, the difference in most cases does not surpass the 6.3% margin of error for the governors race and 6.4% for the U.S.Senator race. 36% of Wisconsin voters approved of Johnsons job performance and 51% disapproved in the fourth quarter of 2021. But in fact, he has been quite polarizing. Richard Nixon 1969-74. 56% of independent voters in Wisconsin disapproved of Johnsons job performance up 14 percentage points since late 2020. Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes is seen as the front-runner, but he faces a number of top-tier Democratic rivals, including State Treasurer Sarah Godlewski, Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson and Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry. Meanwhile, super PACs for both sides of the race are already pouring millions of dollars into Wisconsin, Forbes reported. Voters will be measuring him against a Democratic opponent, but we wont know who that will be until after the states August primary. Approval rating Approval Disapproval rating Disapproval Net approval. According to FiveThirtyEights presidential approval tracker,5 41.4 percent of Americans approve of the job Biden is doing as president, while 52.6 percent disapprove (a net approval rating of -11.2 points). Marquette Law School survey shows a decline in Johnson's popularity over the past few years. Historically, the presidential election results in a given state have tracked closely with the Senate outcome there, and the two are only coming into closer alignment (in 2016, for example, the presidential and Senate outcome was the same in every state). Tired of seeing banner ads on Urban Milwaukee? This ad will close automatically in 15 seconds. He is also the most unpopular Republican among the broader electorate who is up for re-election next year. Both Kelly and Republican State Attorney General Derek Schmidt won their respective nominations with little opposition. House Republicans want to repeal Biden's Inflation Reduction Act. Lyndon B. Johnson 1963-69. Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire, Mark Warner of Virginia and Tina Smith of Minnesota are electorally vulnerable. The survey released Wednesday found slipping approval ratings for Democratic Gov. A Morning Consult poll earlier this year had Johnson's approval rating at 36 percent. A 2001 industry survey conducted by ``Information Security,'' released on October 16, indicated that out of 2,100 respondents, an overwhelming 89% experienced virus, worms, or trojan breeches in the last three months. Buy It Now. Henning, the Johnson spokeswoman, said whoever the Democratic nominee is will have to run on Joe Bidens abysmal record and that voters should be wary of anyone who supports his agenda, or worse, something even more progressive.. "First of all, I'm not a polarizing figure. Johnsons rhetoric on these issues has attracted a great deal of attention and controversy. After he was elected in 2020 to serve out the remainder of the late John McCain's (R-AZ) term, Sen. Mark Kelly (D-AZ) is seeking a full term this year. Ron Johnson (R)* Bio | Campaign Site. For all these reasons, some nonpartisan analysts think Johnson has a better than even chance of getting reelected. Republican Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin will defend his seat against Democratic Lt. Gov. We strive to report with honesty and integrity, shining a light on those in power and the progressive politics movement. A FiveThirtyEight report last week suggested Barnes, who has endorsements from progressive Democratic Senators Bernie Sanders (Vt.) and Elizabeth Warren (Mass. Republican U.S. Sen Ron Johnson stayed about the same, with a 36% . . 2023 CNBC LLC. By Eli Yokley. Compared with his peak in popularity in the pre-pandemic year of 2019 when his average favorability rating was plus 10 the downturn is notable. Bemis, a major plastics manufacturer, had appointed Howard Curler as its CEO in 1978, and during the first several years of PACUR's existence, Bemis was the business' sole client. These polling trends dont mean Johnson cant win this fall. This unpopularity could drag him down in November, allowing Democrats to flip a Senate seat that, on paper, should remain Republican in this environment. Get this delivered to your inbox, and more info about our products and services. But a comparison between then and now also points to the challenges Johnson faces. Everss PARG is just +1, suggesting perceptions of him are strongly dependent on partisanship. With a PARG of +13, Democratic Gov. So, its not a short-term fluctuation, but a strong trend, said pollster Charles Franklin, who provided the data used here. Barnes, the current lieutenant governor of Wisconsin, leads Johnson 51% to 44%, up from a narrow two-point lead he held in June, when polls showed Barnes had the support of 46% voters in the battleground state, which voted for former President Donald Trump in 2016 and President Joe Biden in 2020. How Every Senator And Governor Ranks According To Popularity Above Replacement, reinstate former President Donald Trumps account, What The 20 Republicans Who Voted Against Kevin McCarthy Have In Common. We're pretty sure you're a member and you're definitely not signed in. Although partisanship has been getting more important in gubernatorial races, it is not as dominant of a force in them as it is in federal elections.3. Biden Job Approval in All 50 States. Shaheen has a +21 net approval rating, Warner has a +19 net approval rating and Smith has a +18 net approval rating. The question is: What will those suburban swing voters think? Johnson said it was not his "job is not to micromanage a private company" and that putting the jobs in a different state would actually "benefit Wisconsin, Oshkosh, and Oshkosh workers. and Biden approval rating unchanged. In the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, Barnes still leads, with 25% of the vote versus 21% for Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry, 9%for state treasurer Sarah Godlewski. Among independents, 56 percent disapprove of Johnsons job performance up 14 points since the third quarter of 2020, before the presidential election while the share with no opinion fell from 28 to 16 percent during the same period. Johnson's campaign has lashed out at Barnes as a "career political activist" who is too far left for the purple state of Wisconsin, which Trump carried in 2016 and only narrowly lost in 2020. Governor Mandela Barnes, and even tighter in the Republican primary for governor, with businessman Tim Michelsin a near-tie with former Lt. Membership, which includes a host of perks, including an ad-free website, tickets to marquee events like Summerfest, the Wisconsin State Fair and the Florentine Opera, a better photo browser and access to members-only, behind-the-scenes tours, starts at $9/month. In the head-to-head matchups for U.S. Wisconsin is over and over the one percentage point or less state the land of the nail-biter, said Ben Wikler, chair of the Democratic Party of Wisconsin. All rights reserved. The January 6 hearings are a dog and pony show They should be holding the Jeffrey Epstein Videotaped Every US Congressman that Visited Epstein Pedophile Island and then Epstein Blackmailed Them hearings Or how about the Joe Biden Staged a Coup in Kiev in 2014, Overthrew the Democratically Elected Government of Ukraine, Then Murdered Over 15,000 Russian Speaking Ukraine Civilians hearings. Right now, the Democrats are trying to steal this election blah, blah, blah!. According to the latest figures, taken from surveys conducted among 10,496 registered Wisconsin voters between Oct. 1 and Dec. 31, 36 percent of Badger State voters approved of his job performance, 51 percent disapproved and 13 percent had no opinion. Last week, U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) reneged on his pledge to step down after two terms and announced he would seek re-election.. Around a quarter of Wisconsin Republicans (24 percent) disapprove of his job performance. trails Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes by seven points his largest deficit in a key race that could determine which party controls the Senate according to a poll from Marquette University Law School released Wednesday, as Johnson faces several political controversies. PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT / GETTY IMAGES. Check out all the polls weve been collecting ahead of the 2020 elections. Accordingly, the floor is 40%. Nathaniel Rakich is a senior elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight. On the flip side, Republican Sen. Ron Johnson has one of the worst PARS scores (-18); despite his home state of Wisconsin having an R+4 partisan lean, his net approval rating is -14 percentage points. But what they missed was that she could create a sincere connection with those working-class voters in rural areas and in Democratic-rich Dane [County] and Milwaukee.. People are more polarized over Johnson by party, by ideology, by gender and other measures. Their four most vulnerable incumbents this fall Sens. He said the early data has no way of accounting for the X factor of Ron Johnson when hes campaigning.. Nearly six years ago, national Republicans had largely written off Johnsons eventually successful re-election campaign as Morning Consult surveys showed 45 percent of Wisconsin voters approved of his job performance, 33 percent disapproved and 22 percent had no opinion. WISN host Adrienne Pederson grilled Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI) about his toxic brand and his low approval ratings.In an interview on Sunday, Pederson asked Johnson how he planned to win re-election . Besides touting Republican wins on regulatory relief, strengthening the military and tax cuts, Johnson. Senator, led by Lt. Meanwhile, only about 1 in 4 Wisconsin Republicans (27 percent) strongly approve of Johnsons job performance, which is down 9 points since the first three months of his term. The poll, whose . The decline in sentiment largely started after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020 but gained momentum after Biden was elected, when Johnson made headlines for his statements about the Jan. 6 Capitol attack and skepticism of vaccines. Biden Job Approval on Issues. But its worth remembering that Lucy has held this football in front of Democrats before. 1 digital platform for progressive news, reaching millions of people each month. 2023 Morning Consult, All Rights Reserved. He does so despite woeful approval ratings among Wisconsin . By contrast, Baldwin's fellow Senator Ron Johnson elicits a much less favourable net approval rating of -22%, since 49% disapprove and 27% approve of Senator Johnson's overall job performance. Wisconsin Democrats are eager to win back the Senate seat, which has been occupied by Republican Sen. Ron Johnson a top conservative foil and ally to former President Donald Trump since he . Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. If the same state had a Republican senator with the same approval rating, the PARS would be -5 . He has lost significant ground in the past few years with key voting groups such as women, moderates, independents and suburbanites, including voters in the once lopsided GOP stronghold of the WOW counties outside Milwaukee.