The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? FiveThirtyEight Politics (podcast) - FiveThirtyEight, 538, ABC News robert kraft granddaughter. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. 2022 Midterms LIVE (Audio Replay POD) - The Heartland POD (podcast They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. 10 Wednesday AM Reads - The Big Picture This is the final FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast episode of the Trump presidency. The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. 0:00:00 The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. So, the usual. NEW TOWN . In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. gold rush supreme second chance winners. He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. 3 min read. Podcast Transcription Generator- Transcribe Online | Type Studio 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. 2,. podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. No products in the cart. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia Rules of the Game - discussing democratic institutions su Apple Podcasts They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. By May 21, 2021 0 . Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines All rights reserved. As the 2022 primaries begin in earnest and potential presidential candidates look ahead to 2024, the fight over the future of the political right is underway. 04:58 PM. American politics has changed a lot in the twenty years since the 9/11 terrorist attacks. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. How To Create A Podcast Transcript - The Ultimate Guide Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. FT Podcasts | Financial Times The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . It's a busy week! Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." They also check in on the upcoming Virginia governors race and discuss a FiveThirtyEight report about how Congress may have inadvertently legalized THC -- the main psychoactive compound in marijuana. The crew discusses why Bidens favorability is falling and how much Democrats should worry about it. These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. FiveThirtyEight Media Bias | AllSides On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. His new book is called "The Engagement: Americas Quarter-Century Struggle Over Same-Sex Marriage.". They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. Release date: 24 June 2015 Show more But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. Today those numbers have flipped. Biden Is Set To Be The Next President | FiveThirtyEight Politics The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. By our estimates, the Democrat is on track to win by 45 points, compared to 30 points in '22 and 36 points in '20. twitter. The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. FT Podcasts FT Weekend podcast 31 min listen Best of: Chef Mashama Bailey on reclaiming African-American food The award-winning chef explains her creative process 2 hours ago FT News Briefing. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. Edit your transcribed text. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah-Jones July 30, 2021 Every Tuesday and Friday, Ezra Klein invites you into a conversation about something that matters, like. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . 01:00 PM. Politics Podcast - FiveThirtyEight Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. A year later, Trump still appears to be the de facto leader of the party. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless' Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and game-changers every week. About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. FiveThirtyEight Politics | Podcast on Spotify The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. They also analyze a new poll from YouGov that breaks down why 78 percent of Americans say they have changed their mind on one or more political issue over the course of their lives. Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. 450 episodes. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. The crew discusses why the Kansas amendment that would have ended state constitutional rights to abortion failed by such a wide margin. This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. Happy holidays! The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. The Lowe Post Show - PodCenter - ESPN Radio Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. What's the Point (FiveThirtyEight Podcast) Theme - SoundCloud In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. They also ask whether a recent poll that suggested about 15 percent of Americans believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory is a "good or bad use of polling.". The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. Sign up to get unlimited songs and podcasts with occasional ads. The data behind that evolution is striking. Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . I'm Galen Truk. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. They also look ahead to how the Department of Justice will navigate the complexities of deciding whether to bring charges against Trump and how a Republican majority in the House could respond. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. . The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Heather Boushey, joins the podcast to discuss what is in the American Rescue Plan and why. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 .